Everything seems to be falling into place for Boris Johnson. The polls show and Conservative prime minister approach out in entrance in the U.K.’s upcoming December 12 election. His conviction is infectious, and “Get Brexit Done” his core marketing campaign message is beguilingly easy. The opposition is divided, and will chip away at one another’s vote share in key constituencies. On high of that, the Brexit Party just lately unilaterally determined to not contest Conservative seats within the election. In other phrases, if voters need to throw their weight behind the Leave campaign, Johnson is their solely alternative. The result of this election will decide the nation’s future more than any for generations, but whereas Johnson seems heading in the right direction for victory, his plan to realize it requires an organization and self-discipline that he and his appearance to lack.
With less than 4 weeks to go earlier than the nation votes, Johnson’s victory is not a certain thing. The stakes are very high for the Conservatives. They’re the one social gathering and should win a majority in December, because in betraying their only potential coalition accomplice, Northern Ireland’s DUP, they don’t have any potential allies in the U.K. Conservatives’ strategy is to make this election about 파워볼게임, and in doing so, transpose the 2016 referendum coalition that voted to depart the European Union into December’s normal election.
This benefit interprets into an imposing 50-seat majority in the House of Commons. Still, it stays unclear the place voters will stand after weeks of campaigning. In 2017, Johnson’s predecessor Theresa May referred to as an election buoyed by a 22-point lead in the polls. Her election strategy was related: She wanted to unite Leave voters underneath a Conservative flag. But after a grueling marketing campaign that spiraled out of her control, May lost her get together’s majority within the Commons, and U.K. The Conservative Party can be at odds with itself: Many senior figures, reasonable by temperament, have been forged out for being insufficiently loyal to the Brexit trigger, while others have mentioned they won’t stand again in the approaching election. Among them have been among the occasion’s most confirmed and disciplined campaigners.